const test = require('node:test'); const assert = require('node:assert/strict'); const Database = require('better-sqlite3'); const { initAutonomySchema } = require('../src/autonomy/schema'); const { enqueueJob, leaseNextJob, completeJob } = require('../src/autonomy/jobs'); const { normalizeProposal, acceptProposal } = require('../src/autonomy/coordinator'); const { calibrateOutcomes, cohortKey } = require('../src/autonomy/calibration'); const { decide } = require('../src/autonomy/policy'); const { validatePaperIntent, createSimulator } = require('../src/autonomy/execution'); const { calculateOutcome } = require('../src/autonomy/outcomes'); const { createOrderIntent } = require('../src/autonomy/orderIntents'); const { enqueueCoordinatorEvent, reconcileArchiveBatch, reconcileLiveBatch } = require('../workers/autonomyWorker'); const { scheduleNext } = require('../workers/replayWorker'); const { refreshHistoricalCalibration, createDecisions } = require('../workers/calibrationWorker'); test('autonomy schema and leased jobs are restart-safe', () => { const db = new Database(':memory:'); initAutonomySchema(db); assert.equal(enqueueJob(db, { jobType: 'enrich', lane: 'live', priority: 10, entityType: 'article', entityId: 42, idempotencyKey: 'enrich:42', }).inserted, true); assert.equal(enqueueJob(db, { jobType: 'enrich', lane: 'live', priority: 10, entityType: 'article', entityId: 42, idempotencyKey: 'enrich:42', }).inserted, false); const job = leaseNextJob(db, 'test-worker'); assert.equal(job.lane, 'live'); assert.equal(completeJob(db, job.id, 'test-worker'), true); assert.equal(db.prepare("SELECT status FROM autonomy_jobs WHERE id = ?").get(job.id).status, 'complete'); }); test('coordinator proposals require evidence and contain no arbitrary numeric confidence', () => { const normalized = normalizeProposal({ predictions: [{ instrument: 'nvda', direction: 'positive', event_type: 'supply_constraint', horizon_days: 10, evidence_article_ids: [7], }] }, { informationCutoff: '2026-01-01T00:00:00Z', model: 'test-model' }); assert.equal(normalized.predictions[0].instrument, 'NVDA'); assert.equal('probability' in normalized.predictions[0], false); assert.throws(() => normalizeProposal({ predictions: [{ instrument: 'NVDA', direction: 'positive', horizon_days: 10 }] })); }); test('accepted proposal preserves evidence and creates immutable prediction', () => { const archive = new Database(':memory:'); archive.exec('CREATE TABLE articles (id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY)'); archive.prepare('INSERT INTO articles (id) VALUES (?)').run(7); const intelligence = new Database(':memory:'); initAutonomySchema(intelligence); intelligence.prepare("INSERT INTO autonomy_instruments(symbol, broker, active, tradable) VALUES ('NVDA', 'test', 1, 1)").run(); const result = acceptProposal(intelligence, archive, { predictions: [{ instrument: 'NVDA', direction: 'positive', event_type: 'earnings', horizon_days: 10, evidence_article_ids: [7] }], }, { informationCutoff: '2026-01-01T00:00:00Z', strategyVersion: 'test' }); assert.equal(result.predictionCount, 1); assert.deepEqual(JSON.parse(intelligence.prepare('SELECT evidence_article_ids FROM autonomy_predictions').get().evidence_article_ids), [7]); }); test('replay evidence cannot look beyond its information cutoff and remains non-executable', () => { const archive = new Database(':memory:'); archive.exec('CREATE TABLE articles (id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY, pub_date_effective TEXT, pub_date TEXT, ingested_at TEXT)'); archive.prepare("INSERT INTO articles VALUES (7, '2020-01-01T00:00:00Z', NULL, '2020-01-01T00:00:00Z')").run(); const intelligence = new Database(':memory:'); initAutonomySchema(intelligence); intelligence.prepare("INSERT INTO autonomy_instruments(symbol, broker, active, tradable) VALUES ('NVDA', 'test', 1, 1)").run(); assert.throws(() => acceptProposal(intelligence, archive, { predictions: [{ instrument: 'NVDA', direction: 'positive', event_type: 'earnings', horizon_days: 10, evidence_article_ids: [7] }], }, { informationCutoff: '2019-12-31T00:00:00Z', origin: 'replay', replayRunId: 1 }), /missing evidence/); const proposal = intelligence.prepare("INSERT INTO autonomy_proposals(payload, information_cutoff, status) VALUES ('{}', datetime('now'), 'accepted')").run(); const prediction = intelligence.prepare(`INSERT INTO autonomy_predictions (proposal_id, instrument, direction, event_type, horizon_days, information_cutoff, evidence_article_ids, strategy_version, origin) VALUES (?, 'NVDA', 'positive', 'test', 10, datetime('now'), '[7]', 'test', 'replay')`).run(proposal.lastInsertRowid); intelligence.prepare("INSERT INTO autonomy_decisions(prediction_id, action, rationale, strategy_version) VALUES (?, 'BUY', 'test', 'test')").run(prediction.lastInsertRowid); const executable = intelligence.prepare(`SELECT d.id FROM autonomy_decisions d JOIN autonomy_predictions p ON p.id=d.prediction_id WHERE d.action IN ('BUY','SELL') AND p.origin='live'`).all(); assert.equal(executable.length, 0); }); test('replay scheduler skips terminal replay jobs instead of pinning the cursor', () => { const archive = new Database(':memory:'); archive.exec(` CREATE TABLE articles ( id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY, title TEXT, description TEXT, content TEXT, pub_date_effective TEXT, is_index_page INTEGER ) `); archive.prepare("INSERT INTO articles VALUES (1, 'bad', '', 'content', '2020-01-01T00:00:00Z', 0)").run(); archive.prepare("INSERT INTO articles VALUES (2, 'next', '', 'content', '2020-01-02T00:00:00Z', 0)").run(); const intelligence = new Database(':memory:'); initAutonomySchema(intelligence); const runId = intelligence.prepare(` INSERT INTO autonomy_replay_runs (watermark_at, strategy_version, prompt_version, coordinator_model) VALUES ('2020-01-03T00:00:00Z', 'test', 'test', 'test') `).run().lastInsertRowid; enqueueJob(intelligence, { jobType: 'replay_article', lane: 'historical', priority: 1, entityType: 'article', entityId: 1, idempotencyKey: `replay:${runId}:article:1`, }); intelligence.prepare("UPDATE autonomy_jobs SET status='dead_letter', attempts=5, last_error='fetch failed'").run(); const run = intelligence.prepare('SELECT * FROM autonomy_replay_runs WHERE id=?').get(runId); const next = scheduleNext(intelligence, archive, run); assert.equal(next.id, 2); assert.equal(intelligence.prepare('SELECT cursor_article_id FROM autonomy_replay_runs WHERE id=?').get(runId).cursor_article_id, 1); assert.equal(intelligence.prepare("SELECT COUNT(*) count FROM autonomy_jobs WHERE status='pending' AND entity_id='2'").get().count, 1); }); test('calibration and policy abstain on insufficient evidence', () => { const calibration = calibrateOutcomes([ { excess_return: 0.02, direction_correct: 1 }, { excess_return: -0.01, direction_correct: 0 }, ]); assert.equal(calibration.sampleSize, 2); const result = decide({ ...calibration }, { minSampleSize: 30 }); assert.equal(result.action, 'ABSTAIN'); assert.equal(cohortKey({ sector: 'tech', eventType: 'earnings', horizonDays: 10, direction: 'positive' }), 'tech|earnings|10|positive'); assert.equal(decide({ direction: 'negative', probability: 0.8, expectedExcessReturn: -0.02, lowerReturn: -0.04, sampleSize: 40 }).action, 'SELL'); }); test('historical replay outcomes create replay calibration snapshots', () => { const db = new Database(':memory:'); initAutonomySchema(db); const proposal = db.prepare("INSERT INTO autonomy_proposals(payload, information_cutoff, status) VALUES ('{}', '2020-01-01T00:00:00Z', 'accepted')").run(); const prediction = db.prepare(` INSERT INTO autonomy_predictions (proposal_id, instrument, direction, event_type, horizon_days, information_cutoff, evidence_article_ids, learning_eligible, strategy_version, origin, replay_run_id, status) VALUES (?, 'NVDA', 'positive', 'earnings', 10, '2020-01-01T00:00:00Z', '[1]', 0, 'test', 'replay', 7, 'resolved') `).run(proposal.lastInsertRowid); db.prepare(` INSERT INTO autonomy_outcomes(prediction_id, excess_return, direction_correct) VALUES (?, 0.04, 1) `).run(prediction.lastInsertRowid); assert.equal(refreshHistoricalCalibration(db, 'test-cal'), 1); const snapshot = db.prepare("SELECT source, replay_run_id, sample_size, directional_probability FROM autonomy_calibration_snapshots").get(); assert.equal(snapshot.source, 'replay'); assert.equal(snapshot.replay_run_id, 7); assert.equal(snapshot.sample_size, 1); assert(snapshot.directional_probability > 0.5); }); test('live decisions map calibration snapshot fields into policy inputs', () => { const db = new Database(':memory:'); initAutonomySchema(db); const proposal = db.prepare("INSERT INTO autonomy_proposals(payload, information_cutoff, status) VALUES ('{}', datetime('now'), 'accepted')").run(); const prediction = db.prepare(` INSERT INTO autonomy_predictions (proposal_id, instrument, direction, event_type, horizon_days, information_cutoff, evidence_article_ids, learning_eligible, strategy_version, origin, status) VALUES (?, 'NVDA', 'positive', 'earnings', 10, datetime('now'), '[1]', 1, 'test', 'live', 'open') `).run(proposal.lastInsertRowid); db.prepare(` INSERT INTO autonomy_calibration_snapshots (cohort_key, sample_size, effective_sample_size, directional_probability, expected_excess_return, lower_return, upper_return, parent_cohort_key, version, source) VALUES ('unknown|earnings|10|positive', 40, 42, 0.7, 0.02, -0.01, 0.06, NULL, 'test-cal', 'replay') `).run(); assert.equal(createDecisions(db), 1); const decision = db.prepare('SELECT * FROM autonomy_decisions WHERE prediction_id=?').get(prediction.lastInsertRowid); assert.equal(decision.action, 'BUY'); assert.equal(decision.calibrated_probability, 0.7); assert.equal(decision.expected_excess_return, 0.02); }); test('paper execution is allowlisted, bounded and idempotent', () => { const intent = validatePaperIntent({ decisionId: 12, instrument: 'NVDA', action: 'BUY', notional: 100 }, { tradable: true, maxNotional: 500 }); const broker = createSimulator(); assert.deepEqual(broker.submit(intent), broker.submit(intent)); assert.throws(() => validatePaperIntent({ decisionId: 13, instrument: 'PRIVATE', action: 'BUY', notional: 100 }, { tradable: false })); assert.throws(() => validatePaperIntent({ decisionId: 14, instrument: 'NVDA', action: 'BUY', notional: 501 }, { tradable: true, maxNotional: 500 })); }); test('archive reconciliation prioritizes recent usable events and is bounded', () => { const archive = new Database(':memory:'); archive.exec('CREATE TABLE articles (id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY, event_id INTEGER, ingested_at TEXT, content TEXT, has_embedding INTEGER)'); archive.prepare('INSERT INTO articles VALUES (1, 99, ?, ?, 1)').run(new Date().toISOString(), 'content'); const intelligence = new Database(':memory:'); initAutonomySchema(intelligence); const result = reconcileArchiveBatch(archive, intelligence, 1); assert.equal(result.scanned, 1); const job = intelligence.prepare("SELECT lane, priority FROM autonomy_jobs WHERE job_type='coordinator_event'").get(); assert.equal(job.lane, 'live'); assert.equal(job.priority, 100); const live = reconcileLiveBatch(archive, intelligence, 1); assert.equal(live.scanned, 1); }); test('archive reconciliation recovers transient dead-lettered coordinator jobs', () => { const intelligence = new Database(':memory:'); initAutonomySchema(intelligence); enqueueJob(intelligence, { jobType: 'coordinator_event', lane: 'historical', priority: 10, entityType: 'event', entityId: 99, idempotencyKey: 'coordinator_event:99', }); intelligence.prepare(` UPDATE autonomy_jobs SET status='dead_letter', attempts=5, last_error='TypeError: fetch failed' WHERE idempotency_key='coordinator_event:99' `).run(); const result = enqueueCoordinatorEvent(intelligence, { event_id: 99, ingested_at: new Date().toISOString(), content: 'content', has_embedding: 1, }); assert.equal(result.recovered, true); const job = intelligence.prepare("SELECT status, lane, priority, attempts, last_error FROM autonomy_jobs WHERE idempotency_key='coordinator_event:99'").get(); assert.equal(job.status, 'pending'); assert.equal(job.lane, 'live'); assert.equal(job.priority, 100); assert.equal(job.attempts, 0); assert.match(job.last_error, /Recovered transient coordinator failure/); }); test('archive reconciliation leaves non-transient coordinator dead letters alone', () => { const intelligence = new Database(':memory:'); initAutonomySchema(intelligence); enqueueJob(intelligence, { jobType: 'coordinator_event', lane: 'historical', priority: 10, entityType: 'event', entityId: 100, idempotencyKey: 'coordinator_event:100', }); intelligence.prepare(` UPDATE autonomy_jobs SET status='dead_letter', attempts=5, last_error='no tradable instruments are allowlisted' WHERE idempotency_key='coordinator_event:100' `).run(); const result = enqueueCoordinatorEvent(intelligence, { event_id: 100, ingested_at: new Date().toISOString(), content: 'content', has_embedding: 1, }); assert.equal(result.recovered, false); const job = intelligence.prepare("SELECT status, attempts, last_error FROM autonomy_jobs WHERE idempotency_key='coordinator_event:100'").get(); assert.equal(job.status, 'dead_letter'); assert.equal(job.attempts, 5); assert.equal(job.last_error, 'no tradable instruments are allowlisted'); }); test('outcome calculation uses benchmark-relative return', () => { const outcome = calculateOutcome( { information_cutoff: '2026-01-02T00:00:00Z', horizon_days: 5, direction: 'positive' }, [{ date: '2026-01-02', close: 100 }, { date: '2026-01-09', close: 110 }], [{ date: '2026-01-02', close: 100 }, { date: '2026-01-09', close: 105 }] ); assert.equal(outcome.directionCorrect, 1); assert.equal(outcome.excessReturn, 0.05); }); test('order intents require the explicit instrument allowlist', () => { const db = new Database(':memory:'); initAutonomySchema(db); db.prepare("INSERT INTO autonomy_instruments(symbol, broker, active, tradable) VALUES ('NVDA', 'sim', 1, 1)").run(); const proposal = db.prepare(`INSERT INTO autonomy_proposals(payload, information_cutoff, status) VALUES ('{}', datetime('now'), 'accepted')`).run(); const prediction = db.prepare(`INSERT INTO autonomy_predictions(proposal_id, instrument, direction, event_type, horizon_days, information_cutoff, evidence_article_ids, learning_eligible, strategy_version) VALUES (?, 'NVDA', 'positive', 'test', 10, datetime('now'), '[1]', 1, 'test')`).run(proposal.lastInsertRowid); const decision = db.prepare(`INSERT INTO autonomy_decisions(prediction_id, action, rationale, strategy_version) VALUES (?, 'BUY', 'test', 'test')`).run(prediction.lastInsertRowid); const intent = createOrderIntent(db, decision.lastInsertRowid, 100, { maxNotional: 100 }); assert.equal(intent.side, 'buy'); assert.equal(db.prepare('SELECT status FROM autonomy_order_intents').get().status, 'shadow'); });