feat: add autonomous paper-trading and calibration pipeline

workers/db.js

@@ -1,5 +1,6 @@
 const Database = require("better-sqlite3");
 const sqliteVec = require("sqlite-vec");
+const { initAutonomySchema } = require("../src/autonomy/schema");
 
 let archiveDb = null;
 let intelligenceDb = null;
@@ -17,6 +18,7 @@ function getIntelligenceDb(dbPath) {
   if (!intelligenceDb) {
     intelligenceDb = new Database(dbPath);
     intelligenceDb.pragma("journal_mode = WAL");
+    initAutonomySchema(intelligenceDb);
   }
   return intelligenceDb;
 }
@@ -109,6 +111,7 @@ function runMigrations(db) {
 function runColumnMigrations(db) {
   try { db.exec("ALTER TABLE event_predictions ADD COLUMN event_date TEXT"); } catch (_) {}
   try { db.exec("ALTER TABLE event_knowledge ADD COLUMN event_date TEXT"); } catch (_) {}
+  try { db.exec("ALTER TABLE event_predictions ADD COLUMN probability REAL"); } catch (_) {}
 
   db.exec(`
     CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS worker_events (
@@ -137,6 +140,49 @@ function runColumnMigrations(db) {
     );
   `);
 
+  // tracks last-processed state per event so augor doesnt redundantly re-run on every new article
+  db.exec(`
+    CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS event_processing_state (
+      event_id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY,
+      last_processed_at DATETIME,
+      articles_at_last_run INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0
+    );
+  `);
+
+  // cached daily price snapshots so the augor prompt can include real market context
+  db.exec(`
+    CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS price_snapshots (
+      ticker TEXT NOT NULL,
+      as_of TEXT NOT NULL,
+      price REAL,
+      price_30d_ago REAL,
+      price_90d_ago REAL,
+      vol_30d REAL,
+      fetched_at DATETIME DEFAULT CURRENT_TIMESTAMP,
+      PRIMARY KEY (ticker, as_of)
+    );
+  `);
+
+  // outcomes — actual realized returns for each prediction, populated by the outcome worker
+  db.exec(`
+    CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS prediction_outcomes (
+      prediction_id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY,
+      company_id INTEGER,
+      ticker TEXT,
+      event_date TEXT,
+      price_0 REAL,
+      price_5d REAL,
+      price_10d REAL,
+      r5 REAL,
+      r10 REAL,
+      correct_5d INTEGER,
+      correct_10d INTEGER,
+      evaluated_at DATETIME DEFAULT CURRENT_TIMESTAMP
+    );
+
+    CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_prediction_outcomes_company ON prediction_outcomes (company_id);
+  `);
+
   // prune rows older than 1 hour so the table doesnt grow unbounded
   db.exec(`DELETE FROM worker_events WHERE completed_at < datetime('now', '-1 hour')`);
 }