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fix: restart the stalled autonomy pipeline and make calibration honest

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Archive ingestion had been dead since 2026-08-02 because nothing in the
compose stack actually ran it. Everything downstream starved from there.

- add ingest + enrichment services. server.js only starts the scheduler when
  DURIIN_RUN_SCHEDULER is not "false", and workers/index.js was not running at
  all, so articles never got event_id/content/has_embedding and the coordinator
  had nothing to lease.
- pass an explicit origin from coordinatorWorker. it was never passed, so
  acceptProposal defaulted to 'live' and 464 historical backfill predictions
  were recorded as live. that also meant verifyEvidence got a null cutoff and
  skipped its date check entirely.
- coarsen cohortKey to event families + horizon buckets. 201 free text event
  types produced 221 cohorts averaging 2.76 samples, so the n>=30 gate could
  never be reached and everything abstained for the wrong reason.
- gate on cohort diversity, not just sample count. one ticker was roughly half
  of all resolved outcomes, so a pure count gate was measuring one company.
  unknown diversity abstains rather than passing.
- resolve the admin archive db explicitly and probe it. it relied on a
  Dockerfile symlink, and without it better-sqlite3 quietly creates an empty
  file and serves a phantom archive.
- clamp implausible future publication dates at ingest.
- pin the db backend to sqlite by default. compose hardcoded postgres "true",
  which would have overridden the operator's own .env on the next redeploy and
  pointed everything at a stale snapshot.

scripts/repair-autonomy-labels.js relabels the affected rows. it is dry run by
default and has not been applied.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WnNxwxfXSbeNtjvtz5gayb
This commit is contained in:
ImBenji
2026-08-29 21:43:24 +01:00
co-authored by Claude Opus 5
parent d778a02bfb
commit 6f1d1eee2d
19 changed files with 1497 additions and 100 deletions
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public/admin/assets/css/autonomy.css
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@@ -53,6 +53,7 @@
.decision-chip { justify-self: end; padding: 5px 8px; color: var(--warning); background: rgba(243,201,105,.06); border: 1px solid rgba(243,201,105,.16); border-radius: 3px; font-family: var(--mono); font-size: 9px; font-weight: 750; }
.decision-chip.buy { color: var(--positive); border-color: rgba(142,230,168,.18); background: rgba(142,230,168,.06); }
.decision-chip.sell { color: var(--negative); border-color: rgba(255,141,125,.18); background: rgba(255,141,125,.06); }
.decision-chip.qualifies { color: var(--positive); border-color: rgba(142,230,168,.18); background: rgba(142,230,168,.06); }
.performance-panel { padding-bottom: 18px; }
.accuracy-orbit { --accuracy: 0deg; width: 166px; height: 166px; margin: 28px auto 24px; padding: 1px; display: grid; place-items: center; border-radius: 50%; background: conic-gradient(var(--accent) var(--accuracy), #252b24 0); }